存活了8年的老韭菜

I am a semicolon, operating in intervals. The next real trading account will be placed in the second tier!

If it's not a bull run and there is a pullback, this might be the last chance to get in. If the bull run starts now, you can only cut losses and chase! Let's see how the market moves, time to sleep!

Last time it was to tell the bulls not to panic, this time it's the bears who shouldn't panic; hold steady at 8 and admit defeat!

Let's talk about Ethereum again. The premise is that it's not a bull return. Ethereum's monthly closing this month must be below 2100; otherwise, there will be no possibility of a new high next month. The probability of that is low, and the only possibility is that it will drop below 1900 next month. All of this is based on the premise that it's not a bull return, and it still belongs to a volatile market!

If the bull market hasn't started, this is just a short-term peak, the limit. In the past, it was a bull return, and if the bull return is established, the Nasdaq will reach 40,000.

The probability of this month's closing price being below 6.82 is too low. If this is the peak of a consolidation phase, next month we will see Bitcoin below 6.56, which will also be the best opportunity to get in. Don't wait for 4 or 5, gradually increase your position, and don't short!

The hidden dangers of the weekly chart have passed. After briefly surpassing the previous high, it has come down. Closing above 7.37 will definitely lead to surpassing the previous high. Fortunately, it hasn't gone up too much yet. Currently, there is still a hidden danger on the monthly chart. If it closes above 6.82, there is a high probability of reaching a new high, unless the next monthly candle opens with a drop and breaks below the previous month's lowest point of 6.56!

It's passed here, there are no resistance levels above.

Here, it's just a matter of judging whether it's a bull reversal or a continued consolidation. A bull reversal here would mean an absolute low point for the next four years, while continued consolidation would indicate an absolute high point for the next few months! However, the bear market has ended; it just depends on when the consolidation will end!

Currently, the 1-hour trend is bearish, with each rebound peak getting lower, and it has also broken below the EMA120 once. Pay close attention to the closing at 8 AM tomorrow!