Ethereum leads significantly in following dimensions critical for it's success:
- security: L1 state level secure (5 clients, 1M validators etc.)
- reliability / maturity: 100% uptime last 10 yrs
- resilience: governance can't be captured
- scalability: 20k tps rn (theoretically 45k+ tps possible with Lighter), MegaETH doing 100k+ tps next few weeks; 3-5 yrs 10k+ L1 tps
- Defi ecosystem: 10x lead in stablecoin TVL to next (far less) decentralized competitor
- network effects: EVM most adopted VM, developments of L2s benefit whole ecosystem etc.
- institutional adoption: L2s from Deutsche Bank, Robinhood, Sony, OpenAI, Alibaba etc. with Blackrock leading the pack
- innovation: L2s & EigenCloud enable to do all kinds of innovations
- dev mindshare: 3x to next competitor
If anyone tells you that ETH isn't cleary leading rn then those people haven't done much deep dive or have some huge bias.
Endgame is ETH.
Outside from Bitcoin, no one has "won" in crypto.
The industry is still far too young, and it's a mistake to assume incumbents can't be unseated.
Historically fundamentals haven't mattered, and the reflexivity of token price action has driven outcomes.
That is no longer the case. The winners of tomorrow will be determined by business model, GTM / distribution, and execution.
Investors that are more discerning to fundamentals and don't care about CT narratives will also help shift the balance.
I think folks will be genuinely surprised as protocols that many have long written off as winners in their respective categories are unseated in the coming years.
And it's even worse, BTC has definitely a security issue (fees not compensating declining block subsidies), ETH researcher Justin Drake assumes a 51% attack next few years by a high profile attacker.
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